Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis (MEDS) score predicts 1-year mortality
OBJECTIVE: To assess the predictive performance for 1-yr mortality of the previously derived and validated Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis (MEDS) score.
DESIGN: Prospective cohort study.
PATIENTS: Consecutive adult (aged > or =18 yrs) emergency department patients presenting to an urban, tertiary care, university hospital were eligible if they had a clinically suspected infection as indicated by the decision to obtain a blood culture. The enrollment period was between February 1, 2000, and February 1, 2001. Of 3,926 eligible patient visits, 3,762 (96%) were enrolled and 3,102 unique first visits were analyzed.
INTERVENTIONS: None.
MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A total of 667 patients (21.5%) died within 1 yr. The unadjusted 1-yr mortality rates for the MEDS risk groups were: very low risk, 7%; low risk, 20%; moderate risk, 37%; high risk, 64%; very high risk, 80%. Using a Cox proportional hazard model that controlled for age, sex, and Charlson co-morbidity index, the 1-yr hazard ratios compared with the baseline very low-risk group were: low risk, 2.2 (1.7-2.9); moderate risk, 3.5 (2.7-4.6); high risk, 6.7 (4.9-9.3); and very high risk, 10.5 (7.2-15.4). The groups were significantly different (p < .0001).
CONCLUSIONS: Although the score was initially derived for 28-day in-hospital mortality, our results indicate that the MEDS score also predicts patient survival at 1 yr after index hospital visit with suspected infection. The score needs external validation before widespread use.
Errataetall: |
CommentIn: Crit Care Med. 2007 Jan;35(1):318-9. - PMID 17197784 |
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Medienart: |
Artikel |
Erscheinungsjahr: |
2007 |
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Erschienen: |
2007 |
Enthalten in: |
Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:35 |
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Enthalten in: |
Critical care medicine - 35(2007), 1 vom: 07. Jan., Seite 192-8 |
Sprache: |
Englisch |
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Beteiligte Personen: |
Shapiro, Nathan I [VerfasserIn] |
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Themen: |
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Anmerkungen: |
Date Completed 19.01.2007 Date Revised 09.04.2022 published: Print CommentIn: Crit Care Med. 2007 Jan;35(1):318-9. - PMID 17197784 Citation Status MEDLINE |
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Förderinstitution / Projekttitel: |
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PPN (Katalog-ID): |
NLM166643289 |
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100 | 1 | |a Shapiro, Nathan I |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
245 | 1 | 0 | |a Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis (MEDS) score predicts 1-year mortality |
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500 | |a CommentIn: Crit Care Med. 2007 Jan;35(1):318-9. - PMID 17197784 | ||
500 | |a Citation Status MEDLINE | ||
520 | |a OBJECTIVE: To assess the predictive performance for 1-yr mortality of the previously derived and validated Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis (MEDS) score | ||
520 | |a DESIGN: Prospective cohort study | ||
520 | |a PATIENTS: Consecutive adult (aged > or =18 yrs) emergency department patients presenting to an urban, tertiary care, university hospital were eligible if they had a clinically suspected infection as indicated by the decision to obtain a blood culture. The enrollment period was between February 1, 2000, and February 1, 2001. Of 3,926 eligible patient visits, 3,762 (96%) were enrolled and 3,102 unique first visits were analyzed | ||
520 | |a INTERVENTIONS: None | ||
520 | |a MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A total of 667 patients (21.5%) died within 1 yr. The unadjusted 1-yr mortality rates for the MEDS risk groups were: very low risk, 7%; low risk, 20%; moderate risk, 37%; high risk, 64%; very high risk, 80%. Using a Cox proportional hazard model that controlled for age, sex, and Charlson co-morbidity index, the 1-yr hazard ratios compared with the baseline very low-risk group were: low risk, 2.2 (1.7-2.9); moderate risk, 3.5 (2.7-4.6); high risk, 6.7 (4.9-9.3); and very high risk, 10.5 (7.2-15.4). The groups were significantly different (p < .0001) | ||
520 | |a CONCLUSIONS: Although the score was initially derived for 28-day in-hospital mortality, our results indicate that the MEDS score also predicts patient survival at 1 yr after index hospital visit with suspected infection. The score needs external validation before widespread use | ||
650 | 4 | |a Journal Article | |
650 | 4 | |a Validation Study | |
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700 | 1 | |a Bates, David W |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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