Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis (MEDS) score predicts 1-year mortality

OBJECTIVE: To assess the predictive performance for 1-yr mortality of the previously derived and validated Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis (MEDS) score.

DESIGN: Prospective cohort study.

PATIENTS: Consecutive adult (aged > or =18 yrs) emergency department patients presenting to an urban, tertiary care, university hospital were eligible if they had a clinically suspected infection as indicated by the decision to obtain a blood culture. The enrollment period was between February 1, 2000, and February 1, 2001. Of 3,926 eligible patient visits, 3,762 (96%) were enrolled and 3,102 unique first visits were analyzed.

INTERVENTIONS: None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: A total of 667 patients (21.5%) died within 1 yr. The unadjusted 1-yr mortality rates for the MEDS risk groups were: very low risk, 7%; low risk, 20%; moderate risk, 37%; high risk, 64%; very high risk, 80%. Using a Cox proportional hazard model that controlled for age, sex, and Charlson co-morbidity index, the 1-yr hazard ratios compared with the baseline very low-risk group were: low risk, 2.2 (1.7-2.9); moderate risk, 3.5 (2.7-4.6); high risk, 6.7 (4.9-9.3); and very high risk, 10.5 (7.2-15.4). The groups were significantly different (p < .0001).

CONCLUSIONS: Although the score was initially derived for 28-day in-hospital mortality, our results indicate that the MEDS score also predicts patient survival at 1 yr after index hospital visit with suspected infection. The score needs external validation before widespread use.

Errataetall:

CommentIn: Crit Care Med. 2007 Jan;35(1):318-9. - PMID 17197784

Medienart:

Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2007

Erschienen:

2007

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:35

Enthalten in:

Critical care medicine - 35(2007), 1 vom: 07. Jan., Seite 192-8

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Shapiro, Nathan I [VerfasserIn]
Howell, Michael D [VerfasserIn]
Talmor, Daniel [VerfasserIn]
Donnino, Michael [VerfasserIn]
Ngo, Long [VerfasserIn]
Bates, David W [VerfasserIn]

Themen:

Journal Article
Validation Study

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 19.01.2007

Date Revised 09.04.2022

published: Print

CommentIn: Crit Care Med. 2007 Jan;35(1):318-9. - PMID 17197784

Citation Status MEDLINE

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM166643289