Preliminary estimation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Iran: A modelling analysis based on overseas cases and air travel data
As of March 1, 2020, Iran had reported 987 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases, including 54 associated deaths. At least six neighboring countries (Bahrain, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Afghanistan, and Pakistan) had reported imported COVID-19 cases from Iran. In this study, air travel data and the numbers of cases from Iran imported into other Middle Eastern countries were used to estimate the number of COVID-19 cases in Iran. It was estimated that the total number of cases in Iran was 16 533 (95% confidence interval: 5925–35 538) by February 25, 2020, before the UAE and other Gulf Cooperation Council countries suspended inbound and outbound flights from Iran..
| Medienart: |
E-Artikel |
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| Erscheinungsjahr: |
2020 |
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| Erschienen: |
2020 |
| Enthalten in: |
Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:94 |
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| Enthalten in: |
International Journal of Infectious Diseases - 94(2020), Seite 29-31 |
| Sprache: |
Englisch |
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| Beteiligte Personen: |
Zian Zhuang [VerfasserIn] |
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| Links: |
doi.org [kostenfrei] |
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| Themen: |
Air travel data |
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| doi: |
10.1016/j.ijid.2020.03.019 |
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| funding: |
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| Förderinstitution / Projekttitel: |
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| PPN (Katalog-ID): |
DOAJ077118987 |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Preliminary estimation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Iran: A modelling analysis based on overseas cases and air travel data |
| 264 | 1 | |c 2020 | |
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| 520 | |a As of March 1, 2020, Iran had reported 987 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases, including 54 associated deaths. At least six neighboring countries (Bahrain, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Afghanistan, and Pakistan) had reported imported COVID-19 cases from Iran. In this study, air travel data and the numbers of cases from Iran imported into other Middle Eastern countries were used to estimate the number of COVID-19 cases in Iran. It was estimated that the total number of cases in Iran was 16 533 (95% confidence interval: 5925–35 538) by February 25, 2020, before the UAE and other Gulf Cooperation Council countries suspended inbound and outbound flights from Iran. | ||
| 650 | 4 | |a Coronavirus disease 2019 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a COVID-19 | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Air travel data | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Ascertainment rate | |
| 653 | 0 | |a Infectious and parasitic diseases | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Shi Zhao |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Qianying Lin |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Peihua Cao |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Yijun Lou |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Lin Yang |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Daihai He |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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