Preliminary estimates of the reproduction number of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Republic of Korea and Italy by 5 March 2020
The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak has caused 6088 cases and 41 deaths in Republic of Korea, and 3144 cases and 107 death in Italy by 5 March 2020, respectively. We modelled the transmission process in the Republic of Korea and Italy with a stochastic model, and estimated the basic reproduction number R0 as 2.6 (95% CI: 2.3–2.9) or 3.2 (95% CI: 2.9–3.5) in the Republic of Korea, under the assumption that the exponential growth starting on 31 January or 5 February 2020, and 2.6 (95% CI: 2.3–2.9) or 3.3 (95% CI: 3.0–3.6) in Italy, under the assumption that the exponential growth starting on 5 February or 10 February 2020, respectively..
| Medienart: |
E-Artikel |
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| Erscheinungsjahr: |
2020 |
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| Erschienen: |
2020 |
| Enthalten in: |
Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:95 |
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| Enthalten in: |
International Journal of Infectious Diseases - 95(2020), Seite 308-310 |
| Sprache: |
Englisch |
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| Beteiligte Personen: |
Zian Zhuang [VerfasserIn] |
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| Links: |
doi.org [kostenfrei] |
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| Themen: |
Basic reproduction number |
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| doi: |
10.1016/j.ijid.2020.04.044 |
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| funding: |
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| Förderinstitution / Projekttitel: |
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| PPN (Katalog-ID): |
DOAJ073902357 |
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Preliminary estimates of the reproduction number of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Republic of Korea and Italy by 5 March 2020 |
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| 520 | |a The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak has caused 6088 cases and 41 deaths in Republic of Korea, and 3144 cases and 107 death in Italy by 5 March 2020, respectively. We modelled the transmission process in the Republic of Korea and Italy with a stochastic model, and estimated the basic reproduction number R0 as 2.6 (95% CI: 2.3–2.9) or 3.2 (95% CI: 2.9–3.5) in the Republic of Korea, under the assumption that the exponential growth starting on 31 January or 5 February 2020, and 2.6 (95% CI: 2.3–2.9) or 3.3 (95% CI: 3.0–3.6) in Italy, under the assumption that the exponential growth starting on 5 February or 10 February 2020, respectively. | ||
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| 700 | 0 | |a Yijun Lou |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Lin Yang |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Shu Yang |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Daihai He |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
| 700 | 0 | |a Li Xiao |e verfasserin |4 aut | |
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