Personalized Multimorbidity Management for Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Using Reinforcement Learning of Electronic Health Records

BACKGROUND: Comorbid chronic conditions are common among people with type 2 diabetes. We developed an artificial intelligence algorithm, based on reinforcement learning (RL), for personalized diabetes and multimorbidity management, with strong potential to improve health outcomes relative to current clinical practice.

METHODS: We modeled glycemia, blood pressure, and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk as health outcomes, using a retrospective cohort of 16,665 patients with type 2 diabetes from New York University Langone Health ambulatory care electronic health records in 2009-2017. We trained an RL prescription algorithm that recommends a treatment regimen optimizing patients' cumulative health outcomes using their individual characteristics and medical history at each encounter. The RL recommendations were evaluated on an independent subset of patients.

RESULTS: The single-outcome optimization RL algorithms, RL-glycemia, RL-blood pressure, and RL-CVD, recommended consistent prescriptions as that observed by clinicians in 86.1%, 82.9%, and 98.4% of the encounters, respectively. For patient encounters in which the RL recommendations differed from the clinician prescriptions, significantly fewer encounters showed uncontrolled glycemia (A1c > 8% in 35% of encounters), uncontrolled hypertension (blood pressure > 140 mmHg in 16% of encounters), and high CVD risk (risk > 20% in 25% of encounters) under RL algorithms compared with those observed under clinicians (43%, 27%, and 31% of encounters, respectively; all p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS: A personalized RL prescriptive framework for type 2 diabetes yielded high concordance with clinicians' prescriptions, and substantial improvements in glycemia, blood pressure, and CVD risk outcomes.

Errataetall:

ErratumIn: Drugs. 2021 Feb 25;:. - PMID 33630279

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2021

Erschienen:

2021

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:81

Enthalten in:

Drugs - 81(2021), 4 vom: 11. März, Seite 471-482

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Zheng, Hua [VerfasserIn]
Ryzhov, Ilya O [VerfasserIn]
Xie, Wei [VerfasserIn]
Zhong, Judy [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

Journal Article

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 12.10.2021

Date Revised 12.10.2021

published: Print

ErratumIn: Drugs. 2021 Feb 25;:. - PMID 33630279

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1007/s40265-020-01435-4

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM321307992