Predictors of complete miscarriage after expectant management or misoprostol treatment of non-viable early pregnancy in women with vaginal bleeding

PURPOSE: To identify predictors of complete miscarriage after expectant management or misoprostol treatment of non-viable early pregnancy in women with vaginal bleeding.

METHODS: This was a planned secondary analysis of data from a published randomized controlled trial comparing expectant management with vaginal single dose of 800 µg misoprostol treatment of women with embryonic or anembryonic miscarriage. Predefined variables-serum-progesterone, serum-β-human chorionic gonadotropin, parity, previous vaginal deliveries, gestational age, clinical symptoms (bleeding and pain), mean diameter and shape of the gestational sac, crown-rump-length, type of miscarriage, and presence of blood flow in the intervillous space-were tested as predictors of treatment success (no gestational sac in the uterine cavity and maximum anterior-posterior intracavitary diameter was ≤ 15 mm as measured with transvaginal ultrasound on a sagittal view) in univariable and multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS: Variables from 174 women (83 expectant management versus 91 misoprostol) were analyzed for prediction of complete miscarriage at ≤ 17 days. In patients managed expectantly, the rate of complete miscarriage was 62.7% (32/51) in embryonic miscarriages versus 37.5% (12/32) in anembryonic miscarriages (P = 0.02). In multivariable logistic regression, the likelihood of success increased with increasing gestational age, increasing crown-rump-length and decreasing gestational sac diameter. Misoprostol treatment was successful in 80.0% (73/91). No variable predicted success of misoprostol treatment.

CONCLUSIONS: Complete miscarriage after expectant management is significantly more likely in embryonic miscarriage than in anembryonic miscarriage. Gestational age, crown-rump-length, and gestational sac diameter are independent predictors of success of expectant management. Predictors of treatment success may help counselling women with early miscarriage.

Medienart:

E-Artikel

Erscheinungsjahr:

2020

Erschienen:

2020

Enthalten in:

Zur Gesamtaufnahme - volume:302

Enthalten in:

Archives of gynecology and obstetrics - 302(2020), 5 vom: 07. Nov., Seite 1279-1296

Sprache:

Englisch

Beteiligte Personen:

Fernlund, Anna [VerfasserIn]
Jokubkiene, Ligita [VerfasserIn]
Sladkevicius, Povilas [VerfasserIn]
Valentin, Lil [VerfasserIn]

Links:

Volltext

Themen:

0E43V0BB57
Abortifacient Agents, Nonsteroidal
Chorionic Gonadotropin, beta Subunit, Human
First-trimester pregnancy
Journal Article
Logistic models prediction
Miscarriage
Misoprostol
Oxytocics
Pregnancy complications

Anmerkungen:

Date Completed 15.12.2020

Date Revised 23.03.2021

published: Print-Electronic

Citation Status MEDLINE

doi:

10.1007/s00404-020-05672-6

funding:

Förderinstitution / Projekttitel:

PPN (Katalog-ID):

NLM312154593